Burnley vs Millwall

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Burnley vs. Millwall: Premier League Resilience vs. Championship Grit

The FA Cup Third Round brings a compelling matchup to Turf Moor today, Saturday, January 10, 2026, as Premier League strugglers Burnley host a high-flying Millwall side from the Championship. Kick-off is set for 15:00 GMT.

Burnley manager Scott Parker is desperate to use the cup as a springboard to ignite a difficult season, while Millwall arrives in Lancashire full of belief, aiming to record their first win at Turf Moor in over a decade.


Match Details: Kick-off & Official Info

  • Competition: FA Cup (Third Round)

  • Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026

  • Kick-off: 15:00 GMT / 10:00 ET

  • Venue: Turf Moor, Burnley

  • Referee: Anthony Backhouse

  • Broadcast: ESPN+ (US), BBC/TNT Sports (UK Highlights)


The Storyline: A Fresh Start vs. Giant-Killing Ambition

Burnley: Looking for the Midweek Momentum

Burnley enters the tie sitting 19th in the Premier League, having gone 12 matches without a win across all competitions. However, there is a glimmer of hope following their resilient 2–2 draw against Manchester United on Wednesday. Jaidon Anthony, who netted the equalizer in that clash, has become a key figure in Parker's attempts to sharpen a lackluster attack. For the Clarets, the FA Cup represents a "mental reset" and a chance to secure their first home win since late 2025.

Millwall: The "Lions" Are Roaring

In contrast, Millwall is enjoying a surge in form under manager Alex Neil. Currently 5th in the Championship and firmly in the promotion hunt, the Lions are unbeaten in their last four matches, most recently securing a 2–1 win over Swansea City. While their away form has been patchy (winless in their last three on the road), their defensive discipline—averaging just 0.8 goals conceded per game recently—makes them a dangerous opponent for a top-flight side lacking confidence.

Team News & Probable Lineups

Burnley Team News

  • Injury List: Scott Parker is without several key players, including Josh Cullen, Connor Roberts, Jordan Beyer, and Zeki Amdouni.

  • Doubt: Former Millwall star Zian Flemming is a doubt to face his old club.

  • Return: Axel Tuanzebe is back in the squad after DR Congo's exit from AFCON.

  • Predicted XI (4-3-3): Weiss; Sonne, Ekdal, Esteve, Hartman; Ugochukwu, Florentino, Laurent; Bruun Larsen, Anthony, Foster.

Millwall Team News

  • Absentees: The Lions are missing Luke Cundle, Massimo Luongo, Will Smallbone, and goalkeeper Lukas Jensen.

  • Doubt: Striker Josh Coburn is nearing a return from a quad injury but may not start.

  • Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Benda; McNamara, Taylor, Cooper, Bryan; Leonard, Doughty; Bangura-Williams, Langstaff, Emakhu; Ivanovic.


Head-to-Head (H2H) & Key Stats

  • Historical Edge: Burnley has won three of the last five meetings between the sides, including a 3–1 victory in May 2025.

     
  • The Turf Moor Curse: Millwall has not beaten Burnley at Turf Moor since 2012, when a young Harry Kane scored in a 3–1 win for the Lions.

  • FA Cup History: These sides haven't met in the FA Cup since 2004, a match Millwall won 1–0 on their way to that season's final.

  • Low-Scoring Trend: Four of the last five head-to-head encounters have seen under 2.5 goals.


Tactical Analysis: Patience vs. Pragmatism

Burnley will likely look to control possession (averaging ~45% in the Premier League, but expected to be higher here) and utilize the pace of Jaidon Anthony on the break. Scott Parker’s primary challenge is breaking down a "low block," which has been Burnley's Achilles' heel this season.

Millwall will arrive with a pragmatic "Alex Neil" game plan: remain compact, frustrate the home crowd, and exploit set-pieces through Caleb Taylor, who scored the winner against Swansea. If the Lions can keep it goalless past the hour mark, the pressure on the Premier League side could lead to the errors Millwall thrives on.

 

Match Prediction

Burnley has the superior squad depth, and the confidence gained from the Manchester United draw should be enough to see them through, albeit in a tight contest.

Final Score Prediction: Burnley 1–0 Millwall

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