The final curtain falls on Matchday 20 of the 2025/26 Liga Portugal season as league leaders FC Porto travel to the Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior to face a struggling Casa Pia this Monday, February 2, 2026. It is a quintessential clash of extremes: the "Dragons" are soaring toward another title under Francesco Farioli, while the "Geese" are desperately fighting to escape the relegation playoff spot.
In this comprehensive Casa Pia vs Porto preview, we break down the tactical battle, injury updates, and provide an expert prediction for this Monday night encounter.
Match Details
Fixture: Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto
Competition: Liga Portugal Betclic (Round 20)
Date: Monday, February 2, 2026
Time: 20:45 UTC / 21:45 CET
Venue: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
Referee: Pedro Ramalh
Pre-Match Analysis: The Form Guide
FC Porto: Farioli’s Unstoppable Machine
Since Francesco Farioli took the reins, FC Porto has been nothing short of sensational. The Dragons sit at the summit of the table with 18 wins from 19 matches, having dropped points only once in a stalemate against rivals Benfica. Defensively, they are a fortress, conceding just 4 goals in the entire league campaign so far
Fresh off a 3-1 Europa League victory against Rangers and a dominant 3-0 league win over Gil Vicente, Porto arrives in Rio Maior with an 11-match winning streak in domestic play. Their away form is particularly terrifying for opponents; they have won all 10 of their road matches this season.
Casa Pia: A Season in Freefall
In stark contrast, Casa Pia is enduring a miserable run. Currently 16th in the standings with just 15 points, they are two points adrift of safety. The "Geese" are winless in their last four league games and, perhaps most concerningly, they are still searching for their first home victory of the season (5 draws, 4 defeats).
Despite showing some attacking sparks in a recent 3-3 thriller against AVS, their defensive vulnerabilities remain a glaring issue. Against a Porto side that has kept clean sheets in 15 of their 19 league games, Casa Pia faces a mountainous task.
Team News & Injury Reports
Casa Pia Team News
The hosts are plagued by defensive absences. Kaique Rocha and Duplexe Tchamba are sidelined, leaving the backline thin. Kiki Silva is a long-term absentee with a serious knee injury, while midfield anchor Lawrence Ofori is also a major doubt.
Key Absences: Kaique Rocha, Duplexe Tchamba, Kiki Silva, Lawrence Ofori.
Player to Watch: Jérémy Livolant. As the team's top scorer, his ability to exploit rare counter-attacking opportunities will be Casa Pia's only hope of an upset.
FC Porto Team News
Farioli has a deep squad but is missing veteran striker Luuk de Jong due to a knee problem. Influential center-back Nehuén Pérez is out with an Achilles tendon injury. However, the club has been boosted by the return of Thiago Silva, who at 41 remains a tactical pillar in the defense.
Key Absences: Luuk de Jong, Nehuén Pérez.
Player to Watch: Samu Omorodion. The Spanish forward has 13 league goals this season and scored in his last league outing against Gil Vicente. His physicality and pace are expected to overwhelm Casa Pia’s makeshift defense.
Predicted Starting Lineups
Casa Pia (4-3-3):
Sequeira; Kaly, Sousa, Goulart, Larrazabal; Brito, Renato Nhaga, Abdu Conté; Livolant, Cassiano, Tiago Morais.
FC Porto (4-3-3):
Diogo Costa; Martim Fernandes, Thiago Silva, Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior; Pablo Rosario, Alan Varela, Gabriel Veiga; Pepe, Samu Omorodion, Borja Sainz.
Head-to-Head (H2H) and Key Stats
Domination: FC Porto has won 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two clubs (1 draw).
Reverse Fixture: Porto hammered Casa Pia 4-0 earlier this season in August.
Clean Sheet King: Porto has kept a clean sheet in 8 of their last 9 Liga Portugal matches.
The Muriqi Effect: Casa Pia has failed to score in 42% of their matches this season.
Casa Pia vs Porto Prediction
This match presents one of the most lopsided statistical matchups of the season. Porto’s tactical discipline and superior individual quality should allow them to dominate possession from the first whistle. Casa Pia will likely sit in a deep low block, but with Porto’s ability to attack through the wings via Pepe and Sainz, the pressure will eventually tell.
Final Score Prediction: Casa Pia 0-3 FC Porto
The league leaders are simply too clinical and defensively sound to stumble here. Expect a professional performance and another clean sheet for Diogo Costa.
Best Betting Tips:
Full-Time Result: Porto to Win. (A safe bet given their perfect away record).
Both Teams to Score: No. Porto’s defense has been nearly impenetrable this season.
Anytime Goalscorer: Samu Omorodion. The striker is in peak form and thrives against teams that sit deep.
Handicap: Porto -1.5. Porto has won most of their recent games by more than a single goal margin.
