How Manchester City would react to a disappointing FA Cup final defeat to Crystal Palace was anyone’s guess. The sting of such an unexpected loss at Wembley, a stage where City have so often asserted their dominance, could have cast a long shadow over the squad’s morale. The FA Cup, a competition steeped in English football tradition, is one that Pep Guardiola, the meticulous tactician, holds in high regard, not just for its prestige but for the momentum it can provide heading into the business end of the season. A defeat to a side like Crystal Palace, who have punched above their weight in recent years but remain a tier below City’s elite status, would have been a bitter pill to swallow. The Wembley heartbreak could have easily derailed a lesser team, sowing seeds of doubt in a squad already grappling with the pressures of a grueling campaign. Yet, rather than wallowing in the despair of that loss, Guardiola and his players displayed the resilience that has come to define their era. They swiftly regrouped and delivered a commanding performance against Bournemouth in their next outing, a result that not only steadied the ship but also served as a statement of intent. This victory was a testament to the mental fortitude instilled by Guardiola, whose philosophy demands that setbacks be met with immediate action rather than prolonged reflection. Now, with their focus firmly fixed on the upcoming clash against Fulham, City know that a win on Sunday will secure their place in the UEFA Champions League for yet another season, ensuring their continued presence among Europe’s elite. However, the path to that victory is fraught with challenges, as Fulham, under Marco Silva’s stewardship, have proven to be a side capable of springing surprises, particularly at home. The prospect of facing the Cottagers at Craven Cottage is no straightforward affair, especially given City’s inconsistent form on the road this season, where they have occasionally faltered against less-fancied opponents. Despite this, Guardiola can draw confidence from an extraordinary historical record: Manchester City have won each of their last 17 meetings with Fulham across all competitions, a streak that stands as the longest winning run one English league side has ever recorded against another in history. This remarkable statistic underscores City’s dominance over Fulham, a run that spans years and includes a variety of competitions, from league fixtures to cup ties. Yet, history alone does not guarantee success, and Guardiola will be acutely aware that past records can only carry a team so far in the face of a determined opponent.
Defeating Fulham is no easy task, particularly given the unpredictable nature of Manchester City’s performances away from the Etihad Stadium this season. While City have often been imperious at home, their away form has been a curious mix of brilliance and vulnerability, with unexpected dropped points against teams they would typically dispatch with ease. This inconsistency has been a rare chink in Guardiola’s otherwise meticulously crafted armor, and it adds an element of intrigue to the upcoming fixture. Fulham, under the guidance of Marco Silva, are a side whose form is difficult to predict, capable of both dazzling displays and perplexing collapses. They have shown an ability to trouble top-tier opposition, with moments of attacking flair and defensive resilience that can unsettle even the most accomplished sides. However, they are equally prone to unraveling against teams lower in the table, making them a true enigma in the Premier League landscape. This unpredictability is reflected in their recent form, where each of their last three wins in all competitions has been followed by back-to-back defeats, a pattern that suggests their momentum can shift dramatically from one week to the next. Their most recent victory, a hard-fought win against Brentford, demonstrated their capacity to grind out results even when not at their fluid best, a trait that will undoubtedly concern Guardiola as he prepares his side. For City, the stakes are clear: a win against Fulham guarantees Champions League qualification, a non-negotiable objective for a club of their stature. For Guardiola, securing a top-four finish is the bare minimum, though the Spaniard is unaccustomed to settling for anything less than the very top. This season, however, has been an anomaly, with City on course to finish outside the top two for only the second time in Guardiola’s 16 seasons as a top-flight manager, the first being the 2016-17 campaign, his maiden year at the club. To avoid this fate, City would need an improbable combination of results: a heavy defeat for Arsenal against relegated Ipswich Town and a resounding victory for City against Fulham. Both scenarios are unlikely, but the Premier League’s capacity for surprises ensures that nothing can be entirely ruled out. For now, Guardiola’s focus will be on ensuring his side delivers a performance worthy of their ambitions, regardless of the permutations elsewhere.
Fulham, for their part, are a side that demands respect, particularly for their ability to fight back from adversity. This season, they have won five games in which they trailed at half-time, a feat that places them alongside Manchester United’s 2020-21 campaign and City’s own efforts last season as the Premier League’s most resilient sides in this regard. Marco Silva deserves significant credit for this tenacity, as his tactical acumen and bold substitutions have repeatedly turned games in Fulham’s favor. The Cottagers have set a new Premier League record this season with 17 goals from substitutes, a statistic that highlights the depth and impact of their bench. These goals have been worth 17 points, a league-high that underscores the decisive role Silva’s substitutes have played in their campaign. However, the absence of Rodrigo Muniz, who suffered a season-ending Achilles injury in April, has been a blow. Muniz’s dynamism off the bench had been a key weapon for Fulham, and his absence places greater responsibility on the shoulders of Raúl Jiménez. The Mexican striker has risen to the occasion, delivering 12 goals in the Premier League this season, with nine putting Fulham ahead and three drawing them level. Jiménez’s physicality and knack for decisive moments make him a significant threat, particularly against a City defense that has shown vulnerability to powerful, direct forwards. Guardiola will need to devise a plan to neutralize Jiménez, whose ability to dominate aerial duels and exploit defensive lapses could pose problems for City’s backline, especially if they are caught off-guard as they have been at times this season.
While Guardiola grapples with how to contain Jiménez and Fulham’s attacking threats, he must also address concerns closer to home, particularly the form of Erling Haaland. The Norwegian striker, typically a relentless goal-scoring machine, has struggled since returning from a five-week injury layoff. In his three appearances since coming back, Haaland has failed to find the net, managing just two shots on target and a meager 0.40 expected goals (xG). This is a stark contrast to the player who was in scintillating form earlier in 2025, terrorizing defenses with his clinical finishing and physical presence. City’s attack, which had been purring in Haaland’s absence, has looked less fluid since his return, raising questions about whether his reintegration was rushed. Guardiola’s decision to bring Haaland back quickly was understandable, given his importance to the team, but it has disrupted the rhythm of a side that had adapted well to his absence. The reverse fixture against Fulham in October, where City needed two goals from Mateo Kovacic to overcome Andreas Pereira’s opener in a 3-2 victory, highlighted both their resilience and their reliance on moments of individual brilliance. Fulham’s record against City is dismal, with no wins in 19 Premier League meetings (D3 L16) and 14 consecutive league defeats, their last victory coming in April 2009 under Roy Hodgson at the Etihad. Yet, despite this historical dominance, City cannot afford complacency. Fulham’s ability to compete with top sides, combined with City’s patchy away form, makes this a fixture fraught with potential pitfalls. For Guardiola, the task is clear: restore Haaland’s confidence, neutralize Jiménez, and maintain the intensity that saw off Bournemouth. A victory would not only secure Champions League football but also reaffirm City’s status as a force to be reckoned with, even in the face of adversity.