Just days after hosting the most prestigious fixture in European club football, the Allianz Arena in Munich is once again preparing to take center stage for a monumental clash on Wednesday, as Germany face Portugal in the first of two UEFA Nations League semi-finals this week. The iconic stadium, bathed in its signature red glow, is no stranger to high-stakes encounters, but this match carries an added layer of intrigue as it pits two European heavyweights against each other in a competition that has rapidly grown in stature since its inception. For Germany, this semi-final represents a historic milestone, as it marks their first-ever appearance in the Nations League finals, a testament to their resurgence under coach Julian Nagelsmann. Meanwhile, Portugal, led by Roberto Martinez, are aiming to defy the odds and spoil the party for the home crowd, with the tantalizing prospect of becoming the first nation to lift the Nations League trophy twice. The matchup is not only a clash of talent and tactics but also a battle of contrasting narratives: Germany’s newfound optimism against Portugal’s quest for redemption after a mixed recent record. With the Allianz Arena set to be filled with passionate supporters, the stage is perfectly set for a gripping encounter that could shape both teams’ trajectories heading into the 2026 World Cup.
This will be the first time Germany and Portugal have met in the Nations League, and remarkably, it is their first competitive encounter outside of a major tournament since 1997, adding a fresh dimension to a rivalry that has produced some memorable moments over the years. Germany, hosting the Nations League finals for the first time, come into this semi-final in scintillating form, having established themselves as one of Europe’s most formidable sides. Their record at home is particularly imposing, with just one defeat in their last 11 matches at the Allianz Arena—a narrow loss to eventual Euro 2024 champions Spain in the quarter-finals. That defeat, though disappointing, was a mere blip in an otherwise impressive run that has seen Germany rediscover their swagger and cohesion under Nagelsmann’s guidance. The 42-year-old tactician, once hailed as a wunderkind at Bayern Munich, has instilled a sense of purpose and attacking flair in this German side, blending youthful exuberance with the experience of seasoned campaigners. Their performances in the Nations League group stage were nothing short of dominant, as they cruised to 14 points from a possible 18 in a group featuring tough opponents like the Netherlands, Hungary, and Bosnia-Herzegovina. This commanding display has not only secured their place in the semi-finals but also fueled optimism that Germany are ready to challenge for major silverware, with the 2026 World Cup looming large on the horizon.
The mood in Germany ahead of last summer’s Euros was one of cautious skepticism, with fans and pundits alike questioning whether the team could live up to the nation’s storied footballing legacy after a series of underwhelming performances in recent tournaments. However, the tide has turned dramatically in the past year, and there is now a palpable sense of excitement surrounding Die Mannschaft. This optimism was evident in their quarter-final tie against Italy in March, where Germany showcased their attacking prowess by racing to a 5-1 aggregate lead by halftime of the second leg. Yet, that tie also exposed some vulnerabilities, as Nagelsmann’s men allowed Italy to claw back three goals in the second half, nearly jeopardling a remarkable comeback. A late penalty decision in Italy’s favor was overturned by VAR, sparing Germany’s blushes and securing their progression, but it served as a reminder that even this revitalized side is not immune to lapses in concentration. Nevertheless, Germany’s overall performance in the Nations League has been a statement of intent, and their status as favorites to win the competition on home soil reflects their growing confidence. With the Allianz Arena expected to provide an electric atmosphere, Germany will be eager to extend their remarkable winning streak against Portugal, having triumphed in their last five encounters, including victories at the 2006 and 2014 World Cups, as well as Euro 2008, Euro 2012, and Euro 2020.
Portugal, by contrast, enter this semi-final as underdogs, a position that belies their pedigree as the inaugural Nations League champions in 2019. For Roberto Martinez, this match represents a critical opportunity to silence his critics and prove that Portugal remain a force to be reckoned with on the international stage. The former Belgium coach has faced scrutiny following a disappointing Euro 2024 campaign, where Portugal suffered a shock defeat to Georgia, needed penalties to overcome Slovenia, and ultimately fell to France in the quarter-finals. The Nations League quarter-final against Denmark was another nervy affair, with Portugal teetering on the brink of elimination. Trailing 1-0 after the first leg and locked at 2-2 in the dying moments of the second leg at home, it was Francisco Trincao’s dramatic late equalizer and subsequent extra-time strike that rescued Portugal and secured their place in the semi-finals. That resilience, while commendable, underscored the inconsistency that has plagued Martinez’s side in recent months. However, Portugal’s unbeaten run in a challenging Nations League group featuring Croatia, Scotland, and Poland suggests they are capable of rising to the occasion. For Martinez, a strong performance in Munich could provide a much-needed boost as his team prepares for World Cup qualifying, where they will face Ireland, Hungary, and Armenia starting in September.
Germany’s squad is bolstered by the return of goalkeeper Marc-Andre ter Stegen, who has recovered from a nine-month injury layoff and is expected to reclaim his spot between the posts ahead of Oliver Baumann and Alexander Nubel. The Barcelona shot-stopper’s experience and composure will be vital against a Portugal side known for its attacking firepower. Captain Joshua Kimmich, set to earn his 100th cap, is another key figure for Germany, having delivered a virtuoso performance against Italy in the quarter-finals. The Bayern Munich star scored once and provided assists for all four of Germany’s other goals across the two legs, cementing his status as one of Europe’s premier midfielders. However, Nagelsmann is grappling with a number of injury concerns, with Inter Milan’s Yann Bisseck the latest to join a growing list of absentees that includes Antonio Rudiger, Nico Schlotterbeck, and Jamal Musiala. Kai Havertz, another key attacking option, has also been left out as a precaution, forcing Nagelsmann to rely on his squad’s depth to fill the voids left by these absences. Despite these challenges, Germany’s blend of youth and experience, coupled with their home advantage, makes them a formidable proposition.
For Portugal, the spotlight will inevitably fall on Cristiano Ronaldo, who is set to earn his 220th cap in what could be one of the final major international matches of his illustrious career. The 40-year-old, amid speculation about his future at Al-Nassr, remains a talismanic figure for Portugal, even if his record against Germany is less than stellar, with no victories in their previous meetings. Ronaldo’s experience and knack for delivering in big moments could prove decisive, particularly against a German defense missing several key players. In midfield, Bernardo Silva, fresh off his 100th cap, will be joined by Paris Saint-Germain’s Champions League-winning duo of Joao Neves and Vitinha, forming a dynamic and creative engine room. The absence of young star Geovany Quenda, who misses out through injury, has paved the way for uncapped forward Rodrigo Mora to step into the squad, offering Martinez a potential wildcard option. Portugal’s ability to blend their veteran stars with emerging talents will be crucial if they are to upset the odds and overcome a German side brimming with confidence.
As the two teams prepare to lock horns, the historical context of their rivalry adds an extra layer of intrigue. Germany’s dominance over Portugal in recent decades, particularly in major tournaments, gives them a psychological edge, but Portugal’s knack for defying expectations—as they did in their 2019 Nations League triumph—makes them a dangerous opponent. The Allianz Arena, with its cauldron-like atmosphere, will amplify the stakes, as Germany aim to capitalize on their home advantage and Portugal seek to channel their underdog spirit. For Nagelsmann, a victory would further solidify his reputation as the architect of Germany’s revival, while for Martinez, it would be a statement of intent that Portugal are still among Europe’s elite. With both teams eyeing the Nations League title as a springboard for World Cup success, this semi-final promises to be a thrilling contest that could hinge on fine margins—a moment of brilliance from Kimmich or Ronaldo, a tactical masterstroke from either manager, or a crucial intervention from VAR. As the footballing world turns its attention to Munich, the Allianz Arena is poised to witness another chapter in this storied rivalry, one that could reverberate far beyond the Nations League.