The stakes are high as Israel and Belgium prepare to face each other in a decisive UEFA Nations League Group A, Group 2 encounter on Sunday. Both teams have endured forgettable campaigns, and this fixture will determine who escapes automatic relegation and who faces the ignominy of dropping out of League A entirely.
Belgium, sitting in third place, must avoid a catastrophic three-goal defeat in Budapest to secure their spot in the relegation playoffs. Meanwhile, bottom-placed Israel needs nothing short of a miracle—a victory by a three-goal margin—to climb off the foot of the group table and force Belgium into direct relegation.
Belgium's Nations League ambitions were officially extinguished following a 1-0 home loss to Italy on Thursday. The match, hosted in Brussels, saw Group 2 leaders Italy clinch maximum points, leaving Belgium with no chance of progressing to the tournament’s quarter-finals.
The decisive moment came when Sandro Tonali capitalized on a defensive blunder by Maxim De Cuyper to score the game's only goal. De Cuyper, who was celebrated for his stunning equalizer in October’s reverse fixture—a 2-2 draw in Rome—was left red-faced after the costly slip.
Belgium mounted a spirited comeback attempt, but their efforts fell short. Romelu Lukaku, deputizing as captain, missed a key header, and Wout Faes struck the post. Despite the late flurry, Domenico Tedesco’s men suffered their third defeat of the group stage, piling more pressure on the under-fire manager.
This loss is just the latest in a series of poor results under Tedesco, who took over after Belgium's "Golden Generation" failed to deliver at the 2022 World Cup. Including their Euro 2024 performance, Belgium has now managed just one victory in their last seven outings—a 3-1 win against Israel in September, played on neutral ground.
Sitting third in Group 2 with a modest three-point cushion over Israel, Belgium's chances of staying in League A now rest on navigating a relegation playoff set for March 2025. However, even this prospect is mired in uncertainty. The Belgian Football Association has opened discussions with goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois about a potential return to the national setup. Courtois, estranged from the team, has declared he will never work with Tedesco again, throwing the coach’s future into doubt.
On the other side, Israel enters the match with an even bleaker outlook. The Sky-Blue and Whites have endured a calamitous Nations League campaign, collecting just one point from their five matches. Sitting at the bottom of Group 2, they face the daunting task of beating Belgium by at least three goals at the Bozsik Arena in Budapest to avoid direct relegation.
Israel's struggles began with four consecutive defeats in September and October, which left them rooted to the foot of the standings. Their dismal run has highlighted the gap in quality between Ran Ben Shimon’s team—ranked 81st in the FIFA rankings—and the heavyweights of European football.
Despite their challenges, Israel managed a surprising 0-0 draw against France on Thursday, showcasing resilience in the face of adversity. The game, played at Stade de France, was marred by fan violence and a near-empty stadium due to security concerns. Nonetheless, Israeli goalkeeper Daniel Peretz delivered an extraordinary performance, denying the French attack and earning a rare clean sheet for his side.
However, this gritty result against the defending World Cup champions is unlikely to inspire the three-goal victory they now need to leapfrog Belgium. For a team with limited attacking firepower and defensive frailties, the odds remain firmly stacked against them.
The Belgian national team has been in a state of flux under Domenico Tedesco. Tasked with rejuvenating a squad transitioning from its Golden Generation, Tedesco has faced criticism for a lack of tactical clarity and inconsistent results. While the team still boasts talent in players like Romelu Lukaku and Jeremy Doku, their performances have been far from convincing.
The absence of Courtois, a cornerstone of Belgium's defensive setup, has been a major setback. His public fallout with the coach not only deprived Belgium of their first-choice goalkeeper but also created a rift within the squad. This dysfunction was evident in Thursday’s defeat to Italy, where lapses in concentration and inefficiency in the final third proved costly.
Heading into Sunday’s match, Belgium must find a way to tighten their defense and capitalize on their superior talent. While a three-goal defeat seems unlikely, complacency could spell disaster.
#### **Israel’s Limited Options**
For Israel, the equation is simple yet daunting: win by three goals or face relegation. To achieve this, they will need to strike a delicate balance between attack and defense. However, their track record suggests they may struggle to impose themselves against a more experienced Belgian side.
Israel's reliance on Daniel Peretz was evident in their stalemate with France. The Bayern Munich shot-stopper has been a standout performer, but the team cannot rely solely on his heroics to overcome Belgium. Offensive contributions from players like Liel Abada and Manor Solomon will be crucial if they hope to mount a serious challenge.
Ran Ben Shimon faces a tactical conundrum. Pushing forward to chase goals will leave his side vulnerable to counterattacks, particularly against Belgium's pacey forwards. Yet, failing to attack with intent will seal their fate as League B participants in the next Nations League cycle.
Though Belgium’s survival in League A seems within reach, their current trajectory raises larger questions about the state of their footballing identity. The prospect of a relegation playoff in March could either galvanize or further destabilize the team. Moreover, the ongoing uncertainty surrounding Tedesco’s future adds an additional layer of complexity.
A win or even a draw against Israel would provide some respite, but the broader issues within Belgian football remain unresolved. With the FA exploring options to reintegrate Courtois and potentially replace the head coach, Sunday’s match is as much about damage control as it is about securing League A status.
For Israel, the stakes are even higher. Relegation to League B would undo the progress they achieved in the previous Nations League cycle, where they earned promotion after a string of impressive performances. It would also serve as a harsh reminder of the gap they must bridge to compete consistently at Europe’s top level.
Sunday’s match offers a glimmer of hope, but it also underscores the need for a strategic overhaul. Whether or not they avoid the drop, Israel must focus on building a more competitive squad capable of sustaining success in international tournaments.
While Israel’s spirited display against France will boost their morale, the three-goal margin required to avoid direct relegation seems a bridge too far. Belgium, for all their flaws, possess the experience and quality to navigate this critical fixture without succumbing to a heavy defeat.
Sunday’s clash between Israel and Belgium is a high-stakes encounter with significant implications for both teams. For Belgium, it represents a chance to steady the ship after a turbulent campaign, albeit temporarily. For Israel, it is a last-ditch effort to salvage their place in League A.
As the two sides prepare to battle it out at the Bozsik Arena, one thing is clear: the outcome will shape the trajectory of their international footballing futures.