Libertad vs Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima faces a pivotal challenge in their final Group D match of the 2025 Copa Libertadores, set to take place at Estadio Tigo La Huerta in Asunción. The Peruvian side must avoid defeat against Club Libertad to keep their hopes alive for a third-place finish, which would secure a spot in the Copa Sudamericana. Currently, both Alianza Lima and Talleres de Córdoba have accumulated four points, but Talleres holds a superior goal difference, placing them ahead in the standings.

Libertad, on the other hand, has already secured advancement to the Round of 16, amassing eight points over five matches. Their recent 1-1 draw against São Paulo, where they conceded a late equalizer, ensured their progression. Despite this, Libertad still harbors a slim chance of topping the group; they would need to defeat Alianza Lima, hope for a São Paulo loss, and achieve a five-goal swing in goal difference.

Historically, Libertad has dominated encounters with Alianza Lima in the Copa Libertadores, winning four out of five matches. Their most recent victory was a 1-0 win in Lima earlier this year. However, Alianza Lima has shown resilience, notably securing a 2-1 victory in Asunción in 2023, marking one of their two wins on Paraguayan soil in this competition.

Alianza Lima's journey in this year's tournament has been tumultuous. They began with a narrow 1-0 loss to Libertad, followed by a commendable 2-2 draw against São Paulo. A thrilling 3-2 victory over Talleres, highlighted by goals from veterans Paolo Guerrero and Hernán Barcos, showcased their potential. However, subsequent defeats, including a 2-0 loss to São Paulo and a 2-0 setback against Talleres, have left their qualification hopes hanging by a thread. 

The presence of seasoned players like Guerrero and Barcos, both 41, has been a defining feature of Alianza Lima's campaign. Their experience has been invaluable, with Guerrero notably scoring twice in the win over Talleres. Libertad also boasts veteran talent, including 43-year-old Roque Santa Cruz, who continues to make significant contributions. 

As the final group stage matches approach, the stakes are clear. Alianza Lima must secure a better result than Talleres or achieve a two-goal swing in goal difference to clinch third place. For Libertad, a win coupled with a São Paulo loss and a favorable goal difference could see them top the group. The upcoming clash promises to be a decisive encounter in determining the final standings of Group D.